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Source Cards

These canonical, non-duplicate sources are explicitly classified for public use. Internal operational, duplicate, and unclassified records are excluded.

Evidence relationshipsCase rolesFalsifier guide

v1.8 environmental evidence families

These grouped source families support inspection of the two new case records. Grouping records by case does not turn the collection into causal proof.

S136–S144

CS004 — Vienna–Montreal

Legal architecture, pressure monitoring, assessment, implementation capacity, participation, counterfactual modeling, and domestic chronology.

Open CS004 · Read RPT55

S145–S153

CS005 — North American acid deposition

Policy design, binational assessment, emissions and deposition trends, compliance, and heterogeneous chemistry response.

Open CS005 · Read RPT56

All curated source cards

S002 — State of World Population 2025: The Real Fertility Crisis

Demography care context

Use as demographic and care context; do not present it as a direct test of C5 or C6.

Open S002 source card

S003 — AR6 Synthesis Report

Climate science

Supports the scientific-risk baseline; it does not by itself support the Repair-Lag mechanism.

Open S003 source card

S006 — Digital News Report 2026 — Executive Summary

Coordination context

Use as coordination context; no direct causal test of C2 is claimed.

Open S006 source card

S013 — Leverage Points: Places to Intervene in a System

Theory context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open S013 source card

S016 — Social Acceleration: A New Theory of Modernity

Theory context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open S016 source card

S026 — Governing the Commons / Nobel Lecture

Theory context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open S026 source card

S027 — Safe and Just Earth System Boundaries

Theory context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open S027 source card

S028 — Global Polycrisis: The Causal Mechanisms of Crisis Entanglement

Theory context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open S028 source card

S030 — Freedom in the World 2026: The Growing Shadow of Autocracy

Democracy context

Use as democracy and authoritarianism context for RQ1; no temporal or mediated pathway is established.

Open S030 source card

S037 — How the Global Religious Landscape Changed From 2010 to 2020

Belief context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open S037 source card

S038 — Spirituality Among Americans

Belief context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open S038 source card

S040 — Deepfakes and the Crisis of Knowing

Coordination context

Use as trust and correction context; it is not evidence of a direct or synthetic-media-specific effect.

Open S040 source card

S048 — Many Religious Nones Around the World Hold Spiritual Beliefs

Belief context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open S048 source card

S053 — Fractured reality: how algorithms fuel polarisation and affect democracy

Coordination context

Use as contested-authority and coordination context; no direct causal test of C2 is claimed.

Open S053 source card

S054 — 2026 Edelman Trust Barometer

Coordination context

Use as shared-ground and coordination context; it does not establish C2 or the RQ1 pathway.

Open S054 source card

S059 — The emergence of conspirituality

Belief context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open S059 source card

S060 — Conspirituality Reconsidered: How Surprising and How New is the Confluence of Spirituality and Conspiracy Theory

Belief context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open S060 source card

S061 — The Russian Firehose of Falsehood Propaganda Model

Theory context

Canonical RAND propaganda-model record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

Open S061 source card

S065 — Fractured Reality

Belief context

Canonical JRC Fractured Reality record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

Open S065 source card

S066 — Synthetic media and its identification and detection

Method detection context

Use for detection and verification-method context; it is not a matched synthetic-versus-conventional comparison.

Open S066 source card

S069 — Fertility trends across the OECD: underlying drivers and role for policy

Fertility context

Canonical OECD fertility-trends record; use as context rather than a direct test of C5.

Open S069 source card

S077 — Birth Statistics in 2024

Fertility context

Use as an official 2024 Korea birth and fertility-rate baseline; do not infer a causal pathway.

Open S077 source card

S078 — Korea's Unborn Future: Understanding Low-Fertility Trends

Demography care context

Canonical OECD Korea fertility record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

Open S078 source card

S080 — Inclusive and sustainable well-being in Korea: gender wage gap

Demography care context

Use as reproductive-agency and care context; do not present it as a direct causal test.

Open S080 source card

S081 — Voter Suppression AI Robocall Investigation Update

Event legal record

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

Open S081 source card

S082 — Steven Kramer Charged with Voter Suppression Over AI-Generated President Biden Robocalls

Event legal record

Use as a charge announcement with an explicit no-finding-of-guilt caveat; do not infer intent, audience impact, or an incremental verification burden.

Open S082 source card

S083 — FCC Declaratory Ruling: AI-generated voices in robocalls

Event legal record

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

Open S083 source card

S084 — FCC Settles Case Against Provider that Transmitted Spoofed AI-Generated Robocalls

Event legal record

Use as enforcement-response context for CS002; do not infer audience impact or an incremental verification burden.

Open S084 source card

S085 — FCC Fines Man Behind Election Interference Scheme $6 Million

Event legal record

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

Open S085 source card

S086 — Discourses of climate delay

Climate delay research

Supports use of a climate-delay taxonomy; it does not establish C7 or symbolic displacement under C8.

Open S086 source card

S087 — Big Oil's Evolving Efforts to Avoid Accountability for Climate Change

Climate political economy context

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

Open S087 source card

S088 — OECD Family Database SF2.1 Fertility Rates

Fertility context

Use as fertility or preference context; it is not a direct test of the C5 intention-achievement pathway.

Open S088 source card

S089 — World Fertility Report 2024

Fertility context

Canonical UN World Fertility record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

Open S089 source card

S092 — NVSS Birth Data: United States 2024

Fertility context

Use as United States demographic context; it is not a direct test of the C5 pathway.

Open S092 source card

S093 — Fertility rate, total (births per woman)

Fertility context

Use as comparative demographic context; it is not a measure of reproductive agency.

Open S093 source card

S095 — Births in Japan Fall Below 700,000 for the First Time in 2024

Fertility context

Use as Japan demographic context; it is not a direct test of the C5 pathway.

Open S095 source card

S096 — Demographic report 2025

Fertility context

Use as France demographic context; it is not a direct test of the C5 pathway.

Open S096 source card

S102 — Evaluating pronatalist policies with TFR brings misleading conclusions: examples from Hungary

Fertility context

Use as fertility or preference context; it is not a direct test of the C5 intention-achievement pathway.

Open S102 source card

S103 — Digital News Report 2026

Coordination context

Use as news-consumption and mediation context; do not infer a synthetic-media causal effect.

Open S103 source card

S107 — Slovakia country page, Digital News Report 2024

Event legal record

Use as event and information-environment context; do not infer that one synthetic artifact changed an election outcome.

Open S107 source card

S108 — Beyond the deepfake hype: AI, democracy, and the Slovak case

Theory context

Use as a rival-sensitive analysis of the Slovak case; do not treat it as proof of a deepfake effect.

Open S108 source card

S109 — Deepfake Video of Zelensky Surrender Sparks Concern and Panic

Event legal record

Use as conflict-incident context; do not infer reach, persuasion, or durable distrust.

Open S109 source card

S110 — 2025 IC3 Annual Report

Coordination context

Use as cybercrime and institutional-response context; do not attribute aggregate losses to synthetic media without direct evidence.

Open S110 source card

S111 — Global Energy Review 2026

Climate political economy context

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

Open S111 source card

S112 — Emissions Gap Report 2025

Climate political economy context

Canonical UNEP emissions-gap record; use as climate policy-gap and rival-explanation context.

Open S112 source card

S113 — Transport - Energy System

Climate political economy context

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

Open S113 source card

S114 — Buildings - Energy System

Climate political economy context

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

Open S114 source card

S115 — Climate disinformation

Climate delay research

Use as climate-disinformation definition and policy context; it does not establish an independent delay effect.

Open S115 source card

S136 — Handbook for the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer 14th Edition

Environmental policy record

Use for the Vienna-Montreal legal and institutional architecture; treaty design is not causal proof.

Open S136 source card

S137 — Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion 2022 Executive Summary

Environmental repair assessment

Use for the separated halogen, ozone, attribution, uncertainty, and conditional-projection findings; recovery is incomplete.

Open S137 source card

S138 — The NOAA Ozone Depleting Gas Index: Guiding Recovery of the Ozone Layer

Environmental outcome monitoring

Use for the atmospheric halogen pressure trajectory; do not present the index as an ozone-recovery percentage.

Open S138 source card

S139 — WMO Bulletin shows recovery of ozone layer driven by science

Environmental repair assessment

Use for the bounded greater-than-99-percent production-and-consumption phase-out statement; do not convert it into an emissions or full-recovery claim.

Open S139 source card

S140 — About the Multilateral Fund

Environmental policy record

Use for finance and implementation-capacity design; governance structure is not proof of sufficient or equitable delivery.

Open S140 source card

S141 — Our Impact

Environmental repair assessment

Use as an official administrative self-report of finance, projects, and phase-out outputs; not independent causal or distributional evaluation.

Open S141 source card

S142 — All Ratifications

Environmental policy record

Use for official participation status only; ratification is not compliance, legitimacy, or outcome evidence.

Open S142 source card

S143 — The World Avoided by the Montreal Protocol

Environmental repair assessment

Use as a model-based physical counterfactual with its uncontrolled-growth assumption visible; not a market counterfactual.

Open S143 source card

S144 — Achievements in Stratospheric Ozone Protection Progress Report

Environmental policy record

Use for U.S. domestic chronology and early substitution context; retain implementing-agency and causal-attribution limits.

Open S144 source card

S145 — Title IV Acid Deposition Control

Environmental policy record

Use for statutory acid-deposition targets, monitoring, and compliance design; law on the books is not ecological recovery.

Open S145 source card

S146 — Agreement Between the Government of Canada and the Government of the United States of America on Air Quality

Environmental policy record

Use for bilateral commitments and review architecture; do not isolate its effect from domestic regulation.

Open S146 source card

S147 — National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program Report to Congress: An Integrated Assessment

Environmental repair assessment

Use for integrated acid-deposition assessment and residual sensitivity; treat it as official synthesis rather than one independent causal estimate.

Open S147 source card

S148 — Review and Assessment of the Canada-U.S. Air Quality Agreement

Environmental repair assessment

Use for commitments met, pressure reductions, declining exceedance, and incomplete recovery together; retain agency self-evaluation limits.

Open S148 source card

S149 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Emissions Reductions

Environmental outcome monitoring

Use for the power-sector emissions trend under the full overlapping policy, technology, fuel, and market package.

Open S149 source card

S150 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Atmospheric Deposition

Environmental outcome monitoring

Use for sulfate-deposition trend with the modeled dry-deposition limitation visible.

Open S150 source card

S151 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Ecosystem Response

Environmental outcome monitoring

Use for regionally heterogeneous ANC and chemistry response; do not infer biological restoration.

Open S151 source card

S152 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Program Compliance and Market Activity

Environmental policy record

Use for allowance compliance only; do not substitute compliance for environmental outcome.

Open S152 source card

S153 — Monitoring Surface Water Chemistry

Environmental outcome monitoring

Use for long-term chemistry monitoring within the network's site-selection boundary; not all North American waters.

Open S153 source card