Source Cards

These canonical, non-duplicate sources are explicitly classified for public use. Internal operational, duplicate, and unclassified records are excluded.

Evidence relationshipsCase rolesFalsifier guide

v1.8 environmental evidence families

These grouped source families support inspection of the two new case records. Grouping records by case does not turn the collection into causal proof.

S136–S144

CS004 — Vienna–Montreal

Legal architecture, pressure monitoring, assessment, implementation capacity, participation, counterfactual modeling, and domestic chronology.

Open CS004 · Read RPT55

S145–S153

CS005 — North American acid deposition

Policy design, binational assessment, emissions and deposition trends, compliance, and heterogeneous chemistry response.

Open CS005 · Read RPT56

All curated source cards

S002 — State of World Population 2025: The Real Fertility Crisis

demography_care_context

Use as demographic and care context; do not present it as a direct test of C5 or C6.

Open source

S003 — AR6 Synthesis Report

climate_science

Supports the scientific-risk baseline; it does not by itself support the Repair-Lag mechanism.

Open source

S006 — Digital News Report 2026 — Executive Summary

coordination_context

Use as coordination context; no direct causal test of C2 is claimed.

Open source

S013 — Leverage Points: Places to Intervene in a System

theory_context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open source

S016 — Social Acceleration: A New Theory of Modernity

theory_context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open source

S026 — Governing the Commons / Nobel Lecture

theory_context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open source

S027 — Safe and Just Earth System Boundaries

theory_context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open source

S028 — Global Polycrisis: The Causal Mechanisms of Crisis Entanglement

theory_context

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

Open source

S030 — Freedom in the World 2026: The Growing Shadow of Autocracy

democracy_context

Use as democracy and authoritarianism context for RQ1; no temporal or mediated pathway is established.

Open source

S037 — How the Global Religious Landscape Changed From 2010 to 2020

belief_context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open source

S038 — Spirituality Among Americans

belief_context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open source

S040 — Deepfakes and the Crisis of Knowing

coordination_context

Use as trust and correction context; it is not evidence of a direct or synthetic-media-specific effect.

Open source

S048 — Many Religious Nones Around the World Hold Spiritual Beliefs

belief_context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open source

S053 — Fractured reality: how algorithms fuel polarisation and affect democracy

coordination_context

Use as contested-authority and coordination context; no direct causal test of C2 is claimed.

Open source

S054 — 2026 Edelman Trust Barometer

coordination_context

Use as shared-ground and coordination context; it does not establish C2 or the RQ1 pathway.

Open source

S059 — The emergence of conspirituality

belief_context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open source

S060 — Conspirituality Reconsidered: How Surprising and How New is the Confluence of Spirituality and Conspiracy Theory

belief_context

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Open source

S061 — The Russian Firehose of Falsehood Propaganda Model

theory_context

Canonical RAND propaganda-model record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

Open source

S065 — Fractured Reality

belief_context

Canonical JRC Fractured Reality record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

Open source

S066 — Synthetic media and its identification and detection

method_detection_context

Use for detection and verification-method context; it is not a matched synthetic-versus-conventional comparison.

Open source

S069 — Fertility trends across the OECD: underlying drivers and role for policy

fertility_context

Canonical OECD fertility-trends record; use as context rather than a direct test of C5.

Open source

S077 — Birth Statistics in 2024

fertility_context

Use as an official 2024 Korea birth and fertility-rate baseline; do not infer a causal pathway.

Open source

S078 — Korea's Unborn Future: Understanding Low-Fertility Trends

demography_care_context

Canonical OECD Korea fertility record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

Open source

S080 — Inclusive and sustainable well-being in Korea: gender wage gap

demography_care_context

Use as reproductive-agency and care context; do not present it as a direct causal test.

Open source

S081 — Voter Suppression AI Robocall Investigation Update

event_legal_record

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

Open source

S082 — Steven Kramer Charged with Voter Suppression Over AI-Generated President Biden Robocalls

event_legal_record

Use as a charge announcement with an explicit no-finding-of-guilt caveat; do not infer intent, audience impact, or an incremental verification burden.

Open source

S083 — FCC Declaratory Ruling: AI-generated voices in robocalls

event_legal_record

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

Open source

S084 — FCC Settles Case Against Provider that Transmitted Spoofed AI-Generated Robocalls

event_legal_record

Use as enforcement-response context for CS002; do not infer audience impact or an incremental verification burden.

Open source

S085 — FCC Fines Man Behind Election Interference Scheme $6 Million

event_legal_record

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

Open source

S086 — Discourses of climate delay

climate_delay_research

Supports use of a climate-delay taxonomy; it does not establish C7 or symbolic displacement under C8.

Open source

S087 — Big Oil's Evolving Efforts to Avoid Accountability for Climate Change

climate_political_economy_context

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

Open source

S088 — OECD Family Database SF2.1 Fertility Rates

fertility_context

Use as fertility or preference context; it is not a direct test of the C5 intention-achievement pathway.

Open source

S089 — World Fertility Report 2024

fertility_context

Canonical UN World Fertility record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

Open source

S092 — NVSS Birth Data: United States 2024

fertility_context

Use as United States demographic context; it is not a direct test of the C5 pathway.

Open source

S093 — Fertility rate, total (births per woman)

fertility_context

Use as comparative demographic context; it is not a measure of reproductive agency.

Open source

S095 — Births in Japan Fall Below 700,000 for the First Time in 2024

fertility_context

Use as Japan demographic context; it is not a direct test of the C5 pathway.

Open source

S096 — Demographic report 2025

fertility_context

Use as France demographic context; it is not a direct test of the C5 pathway.

Open source

S102 — Evaluating pronatalist policies with TFR brings misleading conclusions: examples from Hungary

fertility_context

Use as fertility or preference context; it is not a direct test of the C5 intention-achievement pathway.

Open source

S103 — Digital News Report 2026

coordination_context

Use as news-consumption and mediation context; do not infer a synthetic-media causal effect.

Open source

S107 — Slovakia country page, Digital News Report 2024

event_legal_record

Use as event and information-environment context; do not infer that one synthetic artifact changed an election outcome.

Open source

S108 — Beyond the deepfake hype: AI, democracy, and the Slovak case

theory_context

Use as a rival-sensitive analysis of the Slovak case; do not treat it as proof of a deepfake effect.

Open source

S109 — Deepfake Video of Zelensky Surrender Sparks Concern and Panic

event_legal_record

Use as conflict-incident context; do not infer reach, persuasion, or durable distrust.

Open source

S110 — 2025 IC3 Annual Report

coordination_context

Use as cybercrime and institutional-response context; do not attribute aggregate losses to synthetic media without direct evidence.

Open source

S111 — Global Energy Review 2026

climate_political_economy_context

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

Open source

S112 — Emissions Gap Report 2025

climate_political_economy_context

Canonical UNEP emissions-gap record; use as climate policy-gap and rival-explanation context.

Open source

S113 — Transport - Energy System

climate_political_economy_context

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

Open source

S114 — Buildings - Energy System

climate_political_economy_context

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

Open source

S115 — Climate disinformation

climate_delay_research

Use as climate-disinformation definition and policy context; it does not establish an independent delay effect.

Open source

S136 — Handbook for the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer 14th Edition

environmental_policy_record

Use for the Vienna-Montreal legal and institutional architecture; treaty design is not causal proof.

Open source

S137 — Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion 2022 Executive Summary

environmental_repair_assessment

Use for the separated halogen, ozone, attribution, uncertainty, and conditional-projection findings; recovery is incomplete.

Open source

S138 — The NOAA Ozone Depleting Gas Index: Guiding Recovery of the Ozone Layer

environmental_outcome_monitoring

Use for the atmospheric halogen pressure trajectory; do not present the index as an ozone-recovery percentage.

Open source

S139 — WMO Bulletin shows recovery of ozone layer driven by science

environmental_repair_assessment

Use for the bounded greater-than-99-percent production-and-consumption phase-out statement; do not convert it into an emissions or full-recovery claim.

Open source

S140 — About the Multilateral Fund

environmental_policy_record

Use for finance and implementation-capacity design; governance structure is not proof of sufficient or equitable delivery.

Open source

S141 — Our Impact

environmental_repair_assessment

Use as an official administrative self-report of finance, projects, and phase-out outputs; not independent causal or distributional evaluation.

Open source

S142 — All Ratifications

environmental_policy_record

Use for official participation status only; ratification is not compliance, legitimacy, or outcome evidence.

Open source

S143 — The World Avoided by the Montreal Protocol

environmental_repair_assessment

Use as a model-based physical counterfactual with its uncontrolled-growth assumption visible; not a market counterfactual.

Open source

S144 — Achievements in Stratospheric Ozone Protection Progress Report

environmental_policy_record

Use for U.S. domestic chronology and early substitution context; retain implementing-agency and causal-attribution limits.

Open source

S145 — Title IV Acid Deposition Control

environmental_policy_record

Use for statutory acid-deposition targets, monitoring, and compliance design; law on the books is not ecological recovery.

Open source

S146 — Agreement Between the Government of Canada and the Government of the United States of America on Air Quality

environmental_policy_record

Use for bilateral commitments and review architecture; do not isolate its effect from domestic regulation.

Open source

S147 — National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program Report to Congress: An Integrated Assessment

environmental_repair_assessment

Use for integrated acid-deposition assessment and residual sensitivity; treat it as official synthesis rather than one independent causal estimate.

Open source

S148 — Review and Assessment of the Canada-U.S. Air Quality Agreement

environmental_repair_assessment

Use for commitments met, pressure reductions, declining exceedance, and incomplete recovery together; retain agency self-evaluation limits.

Open source

S149 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Emissions Reductions

environmental_outcome_monitoring

Use for the power-sector emissions trend under the full overlapping policy, technology, fuel, and market package.

Open source

S150 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Atmospheric Deposition

environmental_outcome_monitoring

Use for sulfate-deposition trend with the modeled dry-deposition limitation visible.

Open source

S151 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Ecosystem Response

environmental_outcome_monitoring

Use for regionally heterogeneous ANC and chemistry response; do not infer biological restoration.

Open source

S152 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Program Compliance and Market Activity

environmental_policy_record

Use for allowance compliance only; do not substitute compliance for environmental outcome.

Open source

S153 — Monitoring Surface Water Chemistry

environmental_outcome_monitoring

Use for long-term chemistry monitoring within the network's site-selection boundary; not all North American waters.

Open source