S143 — The World Avoided by the Montreal Protocol

Newman et al. / Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (2009)

Open original source — doi.org

peer-reviewed primary modeling study environmental_repair_assessment

Curated public use: Use as a model-based physical counterfactual with its uncontrolled-growth assumption visible; not a market counterfactual.

Limitation: Source cards are evidence anchors, not proof that a linked claim is settled.

Source note: Models an uncontrolled ODS-growth counterfactual; the result is model-dependent and does not estimate what markets certainly would have done without the regime.