S102 — Evaluating pronatalist policies with TFR brings misleading conclusions: examples from Hungary

Lutz, Sobotka, and Zeman / N-IUSSP (2024)

demographic analysis fertility_context

Curated public use: Use as fertility or preference context; it is not a direct test of the C5 intention-achievement pathway.

Limitation: Source cards are evidence anchors, not proof that a linked claim is settled.

Source note: Warns that period TFR changes can reflect birth timing and cohort composition, not necessarily lasting policy success.