Evidence Relationships and Gaps

CS005 — North American acid-deposition control and uneven monitored surface-water chemistry recovery

boundary Challenges any reading that treats slow substrate recovery after strong institutional control and pressure reduction as continuing institutional repair failure.

Boundary case: institutional control and pressure reduction succeeded faster than regionally uneven monitored surface-water chemistry recovery; biological recovery remains undefined and residual damage cannot automatically be coded as continuing institutional repair failure.

S148 — Review and Assessment of the Canada-U.S. Air Quality Agreement

Environment and Climate Change Canada / U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2024)

environmental_repair_assessment Documents commitments met and strong precursor reduction alongside incomplete and regionally heterogeneous recovery, challenging endpoint collapse.

Use for commitments met, pressure reductions, declining exceedance, and incomplete recovery together; retain agency self-evaluation limits.

S151 — Power Sector Programs Progress Report: Ecosystem Response

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2024)

environmental_outcome_monitoring Documents uneven regional water-chemistry response after large pressure reduction; chemical response is not direct biological restoration.

Use for regionally heterogeneous ANC and chemistry response; do not infer biological restoration.

CS001 — South Korea fertility

failure Illustrates one bounded reproductive-agency and care setting; it does not establish the cross-domain synthesis.

Illustrates reproductive-agency and care constraints in one setting; does not establish a general causal mechanism.

CS002 — New Hampshire AI robocall

failure Illustrates a synthetic-media event and governance response; it does not establish the cross-domain synthesis.

Documents a synthetic-media event and governance response; illustrates provenance and response-timing questions without establishing incremental verification cost or behavioral effect.

CS003 — Climate misinformation and repair latency

failure Illustrates a climate misinformation and delay problem; it does not establish Repair-Lag causality.

Illustrates a climate misinformation and delay problem; does not establish Repair-Lag causality or the independent effect of misinformation.

CS004 — Vienna–Montreal ozone regime

successful_repair Shows that a bounded adaptive regime can reverse a damaging pressure while substrate replenishment remains delayed; it does not establish cross-domain generality or defeat tractability, technology, market, trade, and domestic-regulation rivals.

Substantial adaptive successful repair at the institutional-control and pressure-reversal levels; full total-column ozone recovery remains conditional and incomplete.

S013 — Leverage Points: Places to Intervene in a System

Donella Meadows Project (1999)

theory_context Provides conceptual context for the bounded synthesis; it is not a direct test of C1.

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

S016 — Social Acceleration: A New Theory of Modernity

Hartmut Rosa (2013)

theory_context Provides conceptual context for the bounded synthesis; it is not a direct test of C1.

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

S026 — Governing the Commons / Nobel Lecture

Elinor Ostrom / Nobel Prize (2009)

theory_context Provides conceptual context for the bounded synthesis; it is not a direct test of C1.

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

S027 — Safe and Just Earth System Boundaries

Rockström et al. / Nature (2023)

theory_context Provides conceptual context for the bounded synthesis; it is not a direct test of C1.

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

S028 — Global Polycrisis: The Causal Mechanisms of Crisis Entanglement

Lawrence, Janzwood, Homer-Dixon / Global Sustainability (2024)

theory_context Provides conceptual context for the bounded synthesis; it is not a direct test of C1.

Use as conceptual context for C1; no direct cross-domain test is claimed.

S137 — Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion 2022 Executive Summary

WMO / UNEP (2022)

environmental_repair_assessment Separates observed halogen decline, uneven ozone response, attribution, and conditional recovery projections; it contextualizes CS004 rather than proving the cross-domain synthesis.

Use for the separated halogen, ozone, attribution, uncertainty, and conditional-projection findings; recovery is incomplete.

CS002 — New Hampshire AI robocall

failure Illustrates provenance and correction demands in one governance episode; it does not establish shared reality as infrastructure.

Documents a synthetic-media event and governance response; illustrates provenance and response-timing questions without establishing incremental verification cost or behavioral effect.

CS003 — Climate misinformation and repair latency

failure Illustrates a contested coordination and delay setting; it does not establish the proposed enabling condition.

Illustrates a climate misinformation and delay problem; does not establish Repair-Lag causality or the independent effect of misinformation.

S054 — 2026 Edelman Trust Barometer

Edelman (2026)

coordination_context Provides context for shared evidentiary ground and coordination; no direct causal test is claimed.

Use as shared-ground and coordination context; it does not establish C2 or the RQ1 pathway.

S040 — Deepfakes and the Crisis of Knowing

UNESCO (2025)

coordination_context Provides context for trust and correction conditions; no direct causal test is claimed.

Use as trust and correction context; it is not evidence of a direct or synthetic-media-specific effect.

S006 — Digital News Report 2026 — Executive Summary

Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism (2026)

coordination_context Provides context for collective coordination; no direct causal test is claimed.

Use as coordination context; no direct causal test of C2 is claimed.

S053 — Fractured reality: how algorithms fuel polarisation and affect democracy

European Commission Joint Research Centre (2026)

coordination_context Provides context for contested authority and coordination; no direct causal test is claimed.

Use as contested-authority and coordination context; no direct causal test of C2 is claimed.

CS001 — South Korea fertility

failure Illustrates care and agency constraints in one national setting; it does not establish a general care-capacity mechanism.

Illustrates reproductive-agency and care constraints in one setting; does not establish a general causal mechanism.

S002 — State of World Population 2025: The Real Fertility Crisis

UNFPA (2025)

demography_care_context Provides demographic and care context; it is not a direct causal test of C6.

Use as demographic and care context; do not present it as a direct test of C5 or C6.

S080 — Inclusive and sustainable well-being in Korea: gender wage gap

OECD (2024)

demography_care_context Provides agency and care context; it is not a direct causal test of C6.

Use as reproductive-agency and care context; do not present it as a direct causal test.

CS002 — New Hampshire AI robocall

failure Documents a synthetic-media event and response; it does not establish incremental verification cost or behavioral effect.

Documents a synthetic-media event and governance response; illustrates provenance and response-timing questions without establishing incremental verification cost or behavioral effect.

S081 — Voter Suppression AI Robocall Investigation Update

New Hampshire Department of Justice (2024)

event_legal_record Provides event or legal context for the synthetic-media episode; no incremental burden is inferred.

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

S083 — FCC Declaratory Ruling: AI-generated voices in robocalls

Federal Communications Commission (2024)

event_legal_record Provides event or legal context for the synthetic-media episode; no incremental burden is inferred.

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

S085 — FCC Fines Man Behind Election Interference Scheme $6 Million

Federal Communications Commission (2024)

event_legal_record Provides event or legal context for the synthetic-media episode; no incremental burden is inferred.

Use as event or legal context for CS002; do not infer an incremental verification burden.

S066 — Synthetic media and its identification and detection

UK Information Commissioner’s Office (2025)

method_detection_context Provides detection and verification-method context; it is not a matched comparison.

Use for detection and verification-method context; it is not a matched synthetic-versus-conventional comparison.

S040 — Deepfakes and the Crisis of Knowing

UNESCO (2025)

coordination_context Provides broader trust and correction context; it is not evidence of an incremental synthetic-media effect.

Use as trust and correction context; it is not evidence of a direct or synthetic-media-specific effect.

S082 — Steven Kramer Charged with Voter Suppression Over AI-Generated President Biden Robocalls

New Hampshire Department of Justice (2024)

event_legal_record Provides a charge announcement for the incident timeline; it is not a finding of guilt or evidence of incremental verification burden.

Use as a charge announcement with an explicit no-finding-of-guilt caveat; do not infer intent, audience impact, or an incremental verification burden.

S084 — FCC Settles Case Against Provider that Transmitted Spoofed AI-Generated Robocalls

Federal Communications Commission (2024)

event_legal_record Provides enforcement-response context for the incident timeline; it does not establish audience impact or incremental verification burden.

Use as enforcement-response context for CS002; do not infer audience impact or an incremental verification burden.

S086 — Discourses of climate delay

Lamb et al. / Global Sustainability (2020)

climate_delay_research Provides a delay-taxonomy context only; it does not demonstrate symbolic displacement.

Supports use of a climate-delay taxonomy; it does not establish C7 or symbolic displacement under C8.

S003 — AR6 Synthesis Report

IPCC (2023)

climate_science Supports the underlying scientific-risk baseline; it does not by itself support the proposed repair-lag mechanism.

Supports the scientific-risk baseline; it does not by itself support the Repair-Lag mechanism.

S086 — Discourses of climate delay

Lamb et al. / Global Sustainability (2020)

climate_delay_research Supports use of a climate-delay taxonomy while leaving the project-specific causal mechanism open.

Supports use of a climate-delay taxonomy; it does not establish C7 or symbolic displacement under C8.

CS003 — Climate misinformation and repair latency

failure Illustrates a climate misinformation and delay problem; it does not establish Repair-Lag causality or an independent misinformation effect.

Illustrates a climate misinformation and delay problem; does not establish Repair-Lag causality or the independent effect of misinformation.

CS004 — Vienna–Montreal ozone regime

successful_repair Provides an adjacent successful atmospheric-governance comparison; ozone-depleting-substance control is not direct evidence for economy-wide carbon-dioxide decarbonization or the independent effect of coordination variables.

Substantial adaptive successful repair at the institutional-control and pressure-reversal levels; full total-column ozone recovery remains conditional and incomplete.

S087 — Big Oil's Evolving Efforts to Avoid Accountability for Climate Change

U.S. Senate Budget Committee / House Oversight Democratic Staff (2024)

climate_political_economy_context Provides climate political-economy or sector context and must be tested as a rival explanation.

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

S111 — Global Energy Review 2026

International Energy Agency (2026)

climate_political_economy_context Provides climate political-economy or sector context and must be tested as a rival explanation.

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

S112 — Emissions Gap Report 2025

United Nations Environment Programme (2025)

climate_political_economy_context Provides climate political-economy or sector context and must be tested as a rival explanation.

Canonical UNEP emissions-gap record; use as climate policy-gap and rival-explanation context.

S113 — Transport - Energy System

International Energy Agency (2026)

climate_political_economy_context Provides climate political-economy or sector context and must be tested as a rival explanation.

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

S114 — Buildings - Energy System

International Energy Agency (2026)

climate_political_economy_context Provides climate political-economy or sector context and must be tested as a rival explanation.

Use as climate political-economy or sector context and retain it as a rival-explanation input.

S137 — Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion 2022 Executive Summary

WMO / UNEP (2022)

environmental_repair_assessment Provides the scientific outcome chain for an adjacent atmospheric-governance comparison; it does not supply a carbon-dioxide-sector threshold or boundary case.

Use for the separated halogen, ozone, attribution, uncertainty, and conditional-projection findings; recovery is incomplete.

CS001 — South Korea fertility

failure Illustrates reproductive-agency and care constraints in one setting; it does not establish a general intention-achievement mechanism.

Illustrates reproductive-agency and care constraints in one setting; does not establish a general causal mechanism.

S002 — State of World Population 2025: The Real Fertility Crisis

UNFPA (2025)

demography_care_context Provides demographic context; it is not a direct test of the specified intention-achievement pathway.

Use as demographic and care context; do not present it as a direct test of C5 or C6.

S080 — Inclusive and sustainable well-being in Korea: gender wage gap

OECD (2024)

demography_care_context Provides agency and care context; it is not a direct test of the specified intention-achievement pathway.

Use as reproductive-agency and care context; do not present it as a direct causal test.

S069 — Fertility trends across the OECD: underlying drivers and role for policy

OECD (2024)

fertility_context Provides fertility or preference context; it is not a direct causal test of C5.

Canonical OECD fertility-trends record; use as context rather than a direct test of C5.

S088 — OECD Family Database SF2.1 Fertility Rates

OECD (2026)

fertility_context Provides fertility or preference context; it is not a direct causal test of C5.

Use as fertility or preference context; it is not a direct test of the C5 intention-achievement pathway.

S102 — Evaluating pronatalist policies with TFR brings misleading conclusions: examples from Hungary

Lutz, Sobotka, and Zeman / N-IUSSP (2024)

fertility_context Provides fertility or preference context; it is not a direct causal test of C5.

Use as fertility or preference context; it is not a direct test of the C5 intention-achievement pathway.

S077 — Birth Statistics in 2024

Statistics Korea (2025)

fertility_context Provides an official 2024 Korea birth and fertility-rate baseline; it does not establish the C5 intention-achievement pathway.

Use as an official 2024 Korea birth and fertility-rate baseline; do not infer a causal pathway.

S078 — Korea's Unborn Future: Understanding Low-Fertility Trends

OECD (2025)

demography_care_context Provides Korea work care housing and gender context; it does not establish a general Theory G mechanism.

Canonical OECD Korea fertility record; currently contextual rather than a direct v1.7.2 evidence edge.

S037 — How the Global Religious Landscape Changed From 2010 to 2020

Pew Research Center (2025)

belief_context Provides belief or mediation context; it is not evidence of prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

S038 — Spirituality Among Americans

Pew Research Center (2023)

belief_context Provides belief or mediation context; it is not evidence of prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

S048 — Many Religious Nones Around the World Hold Spiritual Beliefs

Pew Research Center (2025)

belief_context Provides belief or mediation context; it is not evidence of prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

S059 — The emergence of conspirituality

Ward and Voas / Journal of Contemporary Religion (2011)

belief_context Provides belief or mediation context; it is not evidence of prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

S060 — Conspirituality Reconsidered: How Surprising and How New is the Confluence of Spirituality and Conspiracy Theory

Asprem and Dyrendal / Journal of Contemporary Religion (2015)

belief_context Provides belief or mediation context; it is not evidence of prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

Use as belief and mediation context; do not infer prevalence or a causal recombination pathway.

S030 — Freedom in the World 2026: The Growing Shadow of Autocracy

Freedom House (2026)

democracy_context Provides democracy and authoritarianism context; it does not establish the proposed temporal or mediated pathway.

Use as democracy and authoritarianism context for RQ1; no temporal or mediated pathway is established.

S054 — 2026 Edelman Trust Barometer

Edelman (2026)

coordination_context Provides coordination context; it does not establish the proposed causal pathway.

Use as shared-ground and coordination context; it does not establish C2 or the RQ1 pathway.